China's youth vital to growth of global travel

400 million millennials set to drive spending on airfare, hotels and cruises, say analysts

BEIJING • Burgeoning wanderlust among young Chinese is becoming a key driver of global travel growth and helping reshape the domestic economy.

"China, led by younger adults, has become vital to the global travel market's growth," according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Brian Egger and Margaret Huang, citing industry tracker Phocuswright.

"As China's travel market takes off, all eyes should be on the country's roughly 400 million millennials, who will drive spending on airfare, hotels, theme parks, casinos and cruises."

Chinese will take almost 70 per cent more trips overseas in 2020 compared with 2015, fuelling growth in tourism and aiding transportation and infrastructure, the analysts said in a report this week.

In 2015, Chinese made 128 million trips abroad, government data show, with adults aged 18 to 34 years accounting for about 60 per cent of outbound travellers that year, according to Phocuswright.

Travel within the world's most populous nation is booming as consumers with more disposable income seek more exotic experiences and far-flung destinations than their parents. Industry growth is underpinning a broad range of domestic activity, from ski resorts and tropical hotels to high-end manufacturing of trains and planes. This change is accelerating the economy's transition away from the old smokestack drivers of growth.

Travel accounted for 9 per cent of China's economy last year, according to the World Travel and Tourism Council, which projects the industry growth will average 8 per cent annually from this year to 2027, outpacing other major economies like India and the US.

A summer travel boom lifted air passenger traffic 8.7 per cent on year last month to a record 50.5 million journeys, the aviation administration said on Monday.

There will be 710 million trips during the Oct 1-8 national holidays, the China Tourism Academy forecast on Tuesday, up 10 per cent from last year.

Boeing this month raised its forecast for aircraft demand in China to 7,240 new planes valued at almost US$1.1 trillion (S$1.48 trillion) in the two decades through 2036, and rival Airbus is courting China with its first factory outside Europe to build wide-body jets.

The state enterprise building China's first large airliner announced this week it had 730 orders for the new plane. The government estimates travel will play a bigger role in the economy and is stepping up policy support to help that happen.

BLOOMBERG

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on September 23, 2017, with the headline 'China's youth vital to growth of global travel'. Print Edition | Subscribe