Bulls And Bears

STI's bellwether stocks may set the mood for week

Investors will be looking for signs of deterioration in the quality of DBS' loan portfolio when its results are released before the market opens today. OCBC Bank and UOB have largely met analysts' expectations.
Investors will be looking for signs of deterioration in the quality of DBS' loan portfolio when its results are released before the market opens today. OCBC Bank and UOB have largely met analysts' expectations.ST PHOTO: TAMARA CRAIU

If their results exceed expectations, that could see the index rise above 2,700

The earnings performance of Straits Times Index (STI) constituents DBS Group Holdings, City Developments, ST Engineering and UOL Group will likely set the tone for the trading week.

"If these bellwethers announce results that exceed analyst expectations, that could generate enough positive sentiment to push the index above 2,700. If they don't, we could be stuck in the 2,580 to 2,680 range," remisier Alvin Yong said.

DBS will release its results before the market opens today. "Investors are watching for signs of deterioration in the quality of its loan portfolio, what percentage of its loan portfolio is exposed to China, oil, gas and commodities," Mr Yong said.

Two of the Big Three banks here - OCBC Bank and United Overseas Bank (UOB) - largely met analysts' expectations when they released their full-year results last week.

But there are pockets of concern. "Of UOB's exposure of $12 billion to the oil and gas sector, $2 billion is deemed to be vulnerable. Cash flows for these oil and gas customers remained healthy. The bank has not recognised non-performing loans for exposure to the oil and gas sector and...has not made specific provisions for these exposures," UOB KayHian said.

Also on investors' radar are the full-year results of Ho Bee Land and Hong Leong Finance to be released on Thursday. Mr Yong said: "We are watching Hong Leong's results for the state of lending to small and medium-sized enterprises."

Traders are also watching for clues on further US interest rate hikes when Mr Neel Kashkari, the new president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks tomorrow. News that China will lower transaction taxes for second-time home buyers and some first-time home buyers in many cities should provide tailwind to China property developers CapitaLand and Yanlord Land Group, Mr Yong said. The latest measure comes just two weeks after China's central bank said it would reduce minimum down payments for first- and second-time home buyers.

Singapore consumer price index and industrial production data are due out tomorrow and on Friday respectively. Meanwhile, telcos Singtel and StarHub will likely continue to be weighed down by news that the Infocomm Development Authority unveiled a spectrum-allocation framework that would facilitate the entry of a fourth mobile network operator (MNO) here.

Singtel closed 0.8 per cent or three cents lower at $3.73 on Friday, StarHub ended 0.9 per cent or three cents down at $3.46 while M1 finished at $2.54, up 0.8 per cent or two cents. "Singtel is the least exposed among the incumbents to the entry of a new MNO, given its diversified income stream. The telco derives only 34 per cent of its funds from operations in Singapore. M1 is the most exposed, due to its domestic-driven revenue and as the smallest of the incumbent MNOs," according to Fitch Ratings.

Genting Singapore, which released weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter results last week, ended 2.1 per cent or 1.5 cents higher at 72 cents on Friday.

RHB, which has a trading-buy call on the casino operator, said that while the operating environment remains challenging, the worst is likely over as its management's stringent credit control has helped reduce bad debt provisions. "We expect to see improvement in the quality of its books this year, owing to the group's more selective credit offerings and the tightening of its collection procedures," it said.

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on February 22, 2016, with the headline 'STI's bellwether stocks may set the mood for week'. Print Edition | Subscribe