Oil plunges to new four-year lows on Opec decision

Employees of Tokyo Commodity Exchange look at monitors as other monitors on the wall show the prices of crude oil (top left) and a graph of the recent fluctuations of crude oil prices (top right) at the trading room of Tocom in Tokyo Nov 28, 2014.&nb
Employees of Tokyo Commodity Exchange look at monitors as other monitors on the wall show the prices of crude oil (top left) and a graph of the recent fluctuations of crude oil prices (top right) at the trading room of Tocom in Tokyo Nov 28, 2014. Global oil prices plunged on Friday to new four-year lows after the Opec oil-producing cartel decided to maintain crude output in an oversupplied market. -- PHOTO: REUTERS

NEW YORK (AFP) - Global oil prices plunged on Friday to new four-year lows after the Opec oil-producing cartel decided to maintain crude output in an oversupplied market.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in January closed at US$66.15 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down US$7.54 from the closing price Wednesday.

It was the lowest WTI close since May 2010.

The Nymex was closed on Thursday for a holiday.

As the New York market closed in an abbreviated session Friday, in London Brent oil for January delivery sank below US$70 for the first time in 4 1/2 years, to US$69.78 a barrel.

Brent settled at US$70.15 a barrel, down US$2.43 from Thursday's close.

The selloffs came after the 12-nation Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) opted Thursday to maintain its collective output ceiling at 30 million barrels per day, where it has stood for three years, sending prices plunging.

Opec refused to cut production despite oversupply that has sent prices tumbling by more than a third since June, with analysts warning of further falls to come.

"Opec confirmed what many market participants had expected by leaving their official production quota unchanged," said Sucden analyst Kash Kamal.

"Many investors had hoped for some positive steps forward as the global supply glut continues to exert considerable downward pressure on futures prices," he added.

At Thursday's Opec gathering in Vienna, the cartel came under pressure from its poorer members, including Venezuela and Ecuador, to trim production as tumbling prices were eating into revenues and raising fears over their economies.

However, the group's powerful Gulf members led by kingpin Saudi Arabia resisted the calls to turn down the taps unless they are guaranteed market share, particularly in the United States, where shale gas has contributed to the global supply glut.

Another member, Kuwait, supported the move with the country's oil minister Ali Omair saying: "We decided that price will adjust itself based on supply and demand and that OPEC is supposed to safeguard its market share in order not to lose its clients."

He suggested the United States should also bear responsibility and lower its own output of shale oil.

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro declared Thursday that he would keep pushing Opec to slash output.

The oil market has plunged in recent months, depressed by plentiful supplies, the stronger dollar and demand fears in a weakening global economy.

"Opec's decision to keep output is the main reason for prices to drop quite rapidly," said Daniel Ang, an investment analyst with Phillip Futures in Singapore.

"Prices are likely to be going down for the rest of the year," he told AFP.

Ang, who closely tracks the oil market, said he expects WTI to end 2014 in the "low 60s" and Brent in the "mid-60s".

OPEC ATTACKING US SHALE?

This week's Opec decision was meanwhile perceived by some analysts as an attack on the booming US shale energy sector.

"Opec is dominated by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, who also have the highest tolerance for low oil prices due to the economies of scale generated by their huge super fields," said analyst Nick Campbell at consultancy Inspired Energy.

"Therefore, in order to combat low demand and a new supply threat - both mainly in the United States - the trick is to drop your price."

Technological innovations have unlocked shale resources in North America and raised daily US oil output by more than 40 per cent since 2006, but at a production cost which can be three or four times that of extracting Middle Eastern oil.

"US shale producers costs are estimated to be much higher than most Opec producers and, therefore, by pushing the oil price lower they are hoping to drive the higher cost current producing wells to the margin and, more importantly, stop new sites developing," added Campbell.

US oil output is soaring thanks to shale energy, which involves blasting a high-pressure blend of water, sand and chemicals deep underground in order to release hydrocarbons trapped between layers of rock.

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