Delistings on SGX to continue despite new rules, say analysts

Tweaks do not affect persistently low valuations in S'pore market, they say

Unusual, which has the largest market share here for concerts and has strong ties with Canto-pop artists like Jacky Cheung (above), is a company that is ripe for potential delisting, says an analyst.
Unusual, which has the largest market share here for concerts and has strong ties with Canto-pop artists like Jacky Cheung (above), is a company that is ripe for potential delisting, says an analyst. PHOTO: UNUSUAL ENTERTAINMENT

Singapore's stock market has seen on average two companies a month on track to relinquish their listing status this year. This trend may not be reversing any time soon.

The Singapore Exchange tweaked the voluntary delisting rules earlier this month, shifting the power to minority shareholders. Market watchers have said bidders may have to pay higher premiums to get deals done.

Delistings are expected to continue in the second half of this year even at higher prices, according to a poll of four analysts, because the rule change does not affect the persistently low valuations that continue to plague the Singapore market.

The Straits Times Index is trading at one-year forward price-to-book ratio of 1.13 compared with 1.71 for the MSCI Asean Index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Taking listed firms private has been a key theme in Singapore's equity market over the past few years as major shareholders, institutional investors and industry peers buy up companies due to low multiples.

Fourteen companies are undergoing privatisation or in the process of being bought out this year, the highest number since 2016, according to a report from DBS this month.

"New rules will not entirely derail the trend of delistings in Singapore. In fact, delistings may continue at a similar rate," said Mr Nirgunan Tiruchelvam, head of consumer equity at research firm Tellimer Research. "Premiums can rise but not beyond what's affordable."

To be sure, while delistings have picked up, equity offerings have also jumped in Singapore with firms raising $1.67 billion in initial share sales this year, more than the entire amount issued for the whole of last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Here are five companies that analysts say are ripe for potential delistings:

SIA ENGINEERING (DBS)

"SIA Engineering stock price has performed poorly of late, and could thus provide a value-for-money privatisation target for SIA," said DBS analyst Suvro Sarkar.

He added that the benefits of keeping SIA Engineering listed is not clear, given the stock's low liquidity and the fact that it is already a cash-rich company.

SIA Engineering's officials did not immediately reply to an e-mail seeking comment.

UNUSUAL (RHB SECURITIES)

The event producer and promoter has the largest market share in Singapore for concerts, has strong connections with Canto-pop artists, and can offer Asia access to a larger foreign competitor, said RHB Securities analyst Jarick Seet.

Valuations are "now compelling for the company, especially since foreign peers are all trading at a way higher multiple as compared to Unusual", he said. "Unusual is also on a growth phase itself in the last two-three years."

Company officials did not immediately reply to an e-mail seeking comment.

FU YU (DBS AND RHB SECURITIES)

A DBS report dated July 2 cited "attractive" valuations and net cash accounting for 54 per cent of its market capitalisation as reasons for a potential privatisation or takeover offer.

RHB's Mr Seet said the plastic component manufacturer is an attractive target for larger competitors that want a South-east Asian exposure to diversify away from the US and China markets.

Octant Consulting's Mr Hermen Phua, whose firm handles investor relations for Fu Yu, said the company does not comment on market speculation.

FRENCKEN GROUP (KGI SECURITIES -SINGAPORE)

The group is diversified in several businesses including the semiconductor, medical, analytical, automotive and industrial sectors. This makes it an attractive target for a bigger competitor to acquire new customers and business segments, said KGI analyst Joel Ng. "It is also among the cheapest of the tech manufacturers listed in Singapore," he added.

Octant's Mr Phua, whose firm also handles investor relations for Frencken Group, said the company does not comment on market speculation.

THE HOUR GLASS (KGI SECURITIES)

The watch and jewellery seller recently reported its highest annual profit in more than 20 years and trades at an attractive historical price-to-earnings ratio, while cash makes up 30 per cent of its market value, said KGI's Mr Ng.

He said "the Tay family (Henry Tay and Michael Tay) owns around 67 per cent" of the company and "has been buying back shares in the open market... (and) we think it makes sense for the Tay family to privatise or either sell to a global luxury brand".

Company officials did not immediately reply to an e-mail seeking comment.

BLOOMBERG

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on July 26, 2019, with the headline Delistings on SGX to continue despite new rules, say analysts. Subscribe