Oil prices last week slumped below US$50, reaching their lowest levels for almost four years in London. Prices dropped two-thirds since striking record highs of above US$147 in July, when fears of supply disruptions sent them rocketing. -- PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
OIL prices fell below US$53 (S$80.31) a barrel on Tuesday in Asia after surging overnight as investors mulled whether a US government bailout of Citigroup restores enough confidence to staunch crude's slide since July.
Light, sweet crude for January delivery was down US$1.68 to US$52.82 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by late afternoon in Singapore.
The contract overnight rose US$4.57 to settle at US$54.50 after the Treasury Department announced a rescue of banking giant Citigroup.
Fears the sprawling financial firm would collapse sent stock markets plunging and the price of oil to a 3-year low near US$49 last week - a third of its peak near US$150 a barrel in July.
But some oil market watchers think euphoria over the government lifeline for Citigroup will soon give way to more dismal news about a severe global economic slowdown and trigger a test of the lows that oil hit last week.
'We could see some renewed oil price weakness in the very near term as economic data from the US and Europe is likely to be weak,' said David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. 'That would keep pressure on the oil price.' Investors are eyeing the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), which accounts for 40 per cent of global supply, for signs the group may reduce output quotas at an informal meeting Nov 29 in Cairo.
Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said on Sunday that Opec should cut oil production by 1 million barrels per day at the Cairo meeting. Opec President Chakib Khelil said on Monday that if the organisation met today, a cut of 1 million barrels would not be enough to support oil prices.
The group, which cut output by 1.5 million barrels a day last month, will hold its next official meeting on Dec 17.
'My guess is Opec is looking to cut production by about 1 million barrels a day at the December meeting,' Mr Moore said. 'If there is compliance with the previous cut, it tightens the oil market up quite a bit.' Investors brushed off Opec's output cut last month, but lower production should eventually help support higher prices, Mr Moore said.
'By late this year or early next year, as the Opec cuts start to bite a little more, you might see a modest recovery in oil prices,' he said.
In other Nymex trading, gasoline futures dropped 1.49 cent to US$1.13 a gallon. Heating oil slid US1.94 cents to US$1.77 a gallon while natural gas for January delivery fell 1.1 cents to US$6.82 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, December Brent crude fell US$1.81 to US$52.12 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange. -- AP